Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1.782538 2.031140 2.301400 2.616974 2.975322 3.369584 3.836293
2025-10-05 1.478215 1.836695 2.260406 2.797955 3.461740 4.254668 5.274221
2025-10-12 1.250128 1.649093 2.148691 2.819856 3.697895 4.807789 6.318340
2025-10-19 1.119992 1.551820 2.118795 2.917065 4.011930 5.461396 7.527862
2025-10-26 0.982431 1.420841 2.020721 2.900573 4.158020 5.891017 8.463471
2025-11-02 0.875018 1.315152 1.940120 2.891010 4.301018 6.315484 9.415724
2025-11-09 0.774259 1.205552 1.839129 2.836085 4.365177 6.622931 10.214330
2025-11-16 0.712043 1.145488 1.802531 2.869029 4.556573 7.125138 11.337345
2025-11-23 0.659115 1.093298 1.771101 2.903767 4.749049 7.638618 12.514136
2025-11-30 0.603448 1.030409 1.715752 2.892985 4.864517 8.035779 13.532543
2025-12-07 0.547021 0.960239 1.641351 2.842405 4.907351 8.314791 14.374046
2025-12-14 0.495766 0.893582 1.566147 2.782234 4.926130 8.551147 15.156701
2025-12-21 0.446247 0.828424 1.493092 2.728982 4.969575 8.862392 16.151584
2025-12-28 0.437755 0.836613 1.549867 2.913067 5.453311 9.986019 18.703129
2026-01-04 0.406592 0.799210 1.520458 2.936076 5.644971 10.604697 20.392169
2026-01-11 0.389104 0.785602 1.532893 3.037239 5.989582 11.529059 22.731938
2026-01-18 0.358645 0.743267 1.486513 3.020075 6.104708 12.031971 24.308418
2026-01-25 0.332205 0.706075 1.446193 3.010122 6.231433 12.565281 25.989136
2026-02-01 0.303444 0.661012 1.385697 2.952958 6.256608 12.899250 27.296073
2026-02-08 0.286618 0.639303 1.370424 2.987245 6.471843 13.630302 29.481703
2026-02-15 0.271378 0.619395 1.356853 3.023399 6.693414 14.391471 31.796559
2026-02-22 0.253278 0.591263 1.323032 3.012178 6.811269 14.944134 33.710834
2026-03-01 0.233410 0.557069 1.272764 2.959536 6.832555 15.290884 35.202077